1 comments

  • ColeW 14 hours ago ago

    I built mantic-thinking for consistent multi-factor analysis. 14 tools (7 friction, 7 emergence), immutable kernel: M = (sum(W * L * I)) * f(t) / k_n.

      Ran 5 tests. Key findings:
    
      The "critical window" pattern
    
      Friction M > 0.7 AND emergence M > 0.7 = unstable equilibrium. High risk + high alignment for action. Neither tool alone catches this. Tested on Tesla: regime c
      onflict (0.715) + confluence window (0.810) → "small position, tight stops."
    
      Cross-domain transfer works
    
      86% pattern consistency across healthcare, finance, cyber, climate, legal, military, social. Same mental model, different domain weights.
    
      Temporal kernels enable timing
    
      8 kernels model evolution. Exponential decay = "monitor." S-curve = "act at inflection." Makes "when to act" explicit.
    
      LLM integration is load-bearing
    
      Framework needs LLM front (NL → parameters) and back (M-scores → recommendations). Tested cyber attribution: extracted params, calculated, synthesized "attribut
      ion gap—isolate server, 48-hour window."
    
      Architecture holds up
    
      Zero-variation core kernel. Graceful NaN handling. 0 crashes. Boundary conditions handled.