Americans Are Leaving the U.S. in Record Numbers

(wsj.com)

71 points | by reaperducer 9 hours ago ago

74 comments

  • OsrsNeedsf2P 9 hours ago ago

    I've lately been asking my coworkers if they would have come to the US if it looked like this back when they were first applying.

    Not one of them has answered yes.

    • pm90 9 hours ago ago

      I moved when Obama was president. I sincerely believed that we were in a post racial world. Imagine my surprise in seeing people proudly flying confederate flags in Austin!

      I am still hopeful. While that flag was considered “ok” then, it no longer is anymore, and I rarely see it in the urban areas.

      • rayiner 8 hours ago ago

        > I sincerely believed that we were in a post racial world.

        I grew up in a post-racial world as a "brown" immigrant in a deep red Virginia county in the 1990s. My daughter, meanwhile, developed a strong "brown" identity from her teachers in our deep blue state. I don't blame Obama for it. But there was a definite shift in thinking during his administration where the distinct politics of black democrats--which is highly focused on racial identity for obvious reasons--became generalized to the hispanics and Asians that democrats sought to court. It was a couple of years into the Obama administration that someone called me a “person of color” for the first time, as if you can properly group people together based on skin color.

      • SlightlyLeftPad 8 hours ago ago

        Flying confederate flags while Obama was president was considered “ok?”

        • rayiner 8 hours ago ago

          According to polling, yes: https://www.cnn.com/2015/07/02/politics/confederate-flag-pol.... For people who grew up in the 1980s and 1990s in the south, it was a generic symbol of rebellion or regional rivalry. Remember, Dukes of Hazzard, which aired in the 1980s, was a liberal show about southern boys fighting corrupt politicians and greedy businessmen.

          Now you can say “hey, maybe you shouldn’t have picked that particular flag as a symbol to mean ‘fuck the Patriots.’” That was the result of propaganda by Lost Causers in the early 1990s. But that doesn’t change the fact that the symbol was repurposed over a long time period and generations grew up associating it with ideas that were quite different from what it originally represented.

          • SlightlyLeftPad 2 hours ago ago

            I will accept being wrong. The more you know…

          • ahazred8ta 7 hours ago ago

            The "Young Patriots" in the 60s were a white far-left anticapitalist antiracist group, part of the Black Panthers' Rainbow Coalition. They flew the confederate flag. The Panthers were okay with it, go figure.

            https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Young_Patriots_Organization

            • znpy 5 hours ago ago

              Maybe the Panthers were smart enough to accept the help without bothering about the flag.

        • ProllyInfamous 8 hours ago ago

          It still is in Trenton, Georgia (whose city flag is the former Georgia Confederate flag). Weird driving through that part of the world...

      • lern_too_spel 7 hours ago ago

        Texas celebrates Confederate Heroes Day as a state holiday on January 19 each year. This occasionally coincides with the third Monday of January on which MLK Jr. Day is celebrated as a national holiday. Democrats in the Texas legislature have repeatedly tried to remove or rename the holiday, but these attempts have so far failed to get out of committee.

        Some people take umbrage at being lumped into a large heterogenous group called People of Color. I can assure you that the people who celebrate Confederate "Heroes" have no issue with lumping all of those people into a group of Colored People. That is where the grouping originated.

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    • wrs 9 hours ago ago

      [flagged]

  • frm88 6 hours ago ago
  • rich_sasha 9 hours ago ago

    I wonder what this will do to the US developer salary premium. You could, for reasons I never entirely understood, make so much more money doing the same job in the US than anywhere else. And I don't mean comparing to India or China, but comparable CoL countries in e.g. Europe.

    Sure, US is more productive, has bigger tech companies, attracts talent, and not least, their hectocorns are truly making the world a better place with their CRUD apps and REST APIs.

    But at these levels of imbalance, already a long time ago I would have expected US companies to move a lot of their software engineering efforts to Europe or India or elsewhere, and it just wasn't happening, despite SE being one of the most remote-able jobs ever.

    But now, the trickle of expat workers into the US appears to be drying up, apparently Americans are leaving too. There will be more and more pressure for these companies to hire abroad even for non-monetary reasons (as is already happening) and I fear for my fellow American HNians that they will like paying a fraction of the cost for the same job.

    • beAbU 37 minutes ago ago

      > make so much more money doing the same job in the US than anywhere else.

      Unless you are comparing with top-paying faang employers, the difference is not as stark I think.

      Once you deduct the higher cost of every day things, medical expenses, education fees, and other social safety net stuff that you typically get for free in EU, and compound that with a weak dollar, you'll see that the typical EU salary is probably not all that bad. Otherwise, as you say, companies would have outsourced to EU rather than India for example.

    • jerlam 8 hours ago ago

      There's also a non-zero number of Canadian engineers in the US. No visa required, just a job acceptance letter for TN status at the border. Minimal language or cultural barrier and educated at competitive colleges. Those workers are going to take their US salaries and experience back to Canada if the US continues to alienate its neighbors. Canada is also building a lot more connections with nations that the US is shunning, like China.

      Might be time for a new Blackberry.

    • HaloZero 8 hours ago ago

      I imagine because the other jobs all around SE isn't as outsourcable. Designs and PM in particular. At some point the timezone pain is not worth the cost savings.

      • ozlikethewizard 3 hours ago ago

        What exactly about design and project management isnt outsourceable if your devs are already outsourced?

  • WD-42 8 hours ago ago

    On a meta note, this comment section is absolutely littered with flagged and dead comments from fresh accounts. There are certain topics that really bring out the emotions.

    • atomicfiredoll 8 hours ago ago

      > There are certain topics that really bring out the emotions.

      Or, based on this thread from yesterday, the fresh accounts are bots and/or disinformation: New accounts on HN more likely to use em-dashes[0].

      - [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47152085

      • ponkloty 7 hours ago ago

        [flagged]

        • atomicfiredoll 7 hours ago ago

          There was another new account basically created for this thread that got flagged down. Yours, which also looks like it was created for this thread, seems awful similar. (Edit: iirc even the name was similar.)

          While I'm sure they do want those abilities, I follow the new tab often that I disagree. And frankly, I don't really have any reason to trust what you're peddling.

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  • toomuchtodo 9 hours ago ago
    • UncleOxidant 9 hours ago ago

      Canada is actively recruiting healthcare workers and it's apparently become quite easy to get people to move up. If I were a healthcare worker I wouldn't have to think about it for very long before having the U-Haul loaded up and ready to go.

      • toomuchtodo 9 hours ago ago

        https://healthcareinfusion.org is actively promoted on social media channels to assist with this, a project of the Canadian commentator, writer, and former national host and producer at CBC Radio Tod Maffin. BC allocated $5M to a marketing budget to do the same.

        • SteveNuts 9 hours ago ago

          Is there anything like this for tech workers? Or is that not a sector Canada is trying to recruit in as much?

          • barbazoo 9 hours ago ago

            The shortage of health care workers has a larger impact on the day to day of Canadians than a shortage of tech workers. However we would even define how many tech workers one "needs".

          • toomuchtodo 8 hours ago ago

            https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/se...

            https://immigration.ca/fast-track-high-demand-occupations/

            “Canada skilled workers program” are the relevant keywords for searches.

            If you can’t find one that fits the work that you do, another option are visas that are non lucrative non working that are based on your investments, their income, including income from rental properties. Own a place in the US? Find a property manager, rent it out, visa secured (assuming monthly/annual income requirements are met).

          • 8note 8 hours ago ago

            i dont think theres anything active, since canada has a bit of a glut of software engineers, but the big companies frequently put people who couldnt get an h1b in canada, so there must be some options

    • anonnon 9 hours ago ago

      [flagged]

  • ranger_danger 9 hours ago ago

    How? It's not like people can just decide to move to another country and they will say "sure, come on in!" right?

    Are they getting visas from work or a spouse or something? Surely that does not account for a vast majority of cases?

    • kalleboo 9 hours ago ago

      I have several US friends who got European citizenship through ancestry. They found a great grandmother or something from "the old country" and by proving their relation to them could get a passport.

      • UncleOxidant 8 hours ago ago

        That got me to googling around since my grandfather was born in Germany and came to the US when he was 5 (circa 1920). But from what I'm finding it sounds like when he became a US citizen that tie to German citizenship was broken. Also, prior to 1975 the citizenship only passed down through the father - it was my maternal grandfather so it wouldn't pass down, apparently. Well, it was fun to think about the possibilities for a few minutes, anyway.

        • OneMorePerson 5 hours ago ago

          Your case sounds complicated so I'm not sure, but two things to note:

          1. US is one of only a few countries where children emigrating with parents don't officially declare intent to immigrate, they do it automatically with their parents. This means that your grandfather (whether he was aware or not) was still German, since German law says you only give it up if you "take action to immigrate" or something like that. Likewise every child since then (your mother and you) were born as US citizens "involuntarily" (as in you didn't choose) so you also retained your citizenship.

          2. In 2021 Section 5 of the StAG law was updated to say that people born to German mothers between 1949-1975 are now eligible, it was updated since male only was seen as discriminatory. So theoretically say grandfather -> mother (born to male) -> you (post 1949). Not an expert so double check this.

          Im not an expert but my understanding of your case would be that you are not even needing to apply for status, you are literally German now, and just need to request a passport (check this with the resources on Reddit I mention below).

          I'd recommend checking Reddit "German Citizenship by Descent" resources. There's a couple profile names you will see there really frequently who are German citizens who can help you in finding paperwork from German government resources if needed (old birth certificates, etc.) for a small fee.

          You can also see public threads where people explain their case and you can see if you find one similar to yours. Example: https://www.reddit.com/r/Genealogy/comments/scvkwb/german_ci...

    • ProllyInfamous 8 hours ago ago

      Almost without exception, any US citizen can perform self-employed work in Netherlands via the DAFT program.

      <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DAFT>

      This can lead to eventual citizenship, but you have to follow the rules (e.g. monetary requirements, which are actually quite low).

      • TrueGeek 5 hours ago ago

        > monetary requirements, which are actually quite low

        Technically, yes - you are required to hold only €4,500 as an "investment" in the business you create. In reality you will need a lot more. My wife and I spent about €40k to move over which is inline with what others on the DAFT program have said they spent.

        Completely worth it though!

        • archagon 32 minutes ago ago

          From my research, the biggest roadblock these days seems to be lack of housing.

    • ageitgey 4 hours ago ago

      It's very hard to get a UK work visa normally (and getting a lot harder each year, like in the US), but if you are a HN type with a good tech, start-up, investor, or researcher career, they roll out the red carpet for you.

      https://www.gov.uk/global-talent

      If you qualify, you get a 'Tier 1' visa where you can work at any company without sponsorship, change jobs at any time just like a citizen, or start your own company with no fear of your visa being tied to a job. You can become a citizen yourself in 5 years.

      Source: Am now UK citizen

      Various other European countries have similar programs with different requirements. Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain are common places that a lot of US people go depending on what options they have to qualify and where they want to be. Spain has a digital nomad visa right now that is easy to get.

    • peterlk 8 hours ago ago

      I have quite a bit of family in Germany, and have had several friends move from the US to Europe. Europe absolutely knows that they have an opportunity to capture a ton of talent right now. If you have skills that are in demand, basically any country in the Schengen zone will find a way to get you a visa. For example, if you’re a trans researcher, you will find open arms at academic institutions in Europe.

      You could also lie and claim your address as a US address, and then just live in another country. This is obviously illegal, but I’ve met a few people who made it work for a while. But I’m also speaking abstractly on the internet, so maybe I’m just making all this up.

    • ytoawwhra92 8 hours ago ago

      > It's not like people can just decide to move to another country and they will say "sure, come on in!"

      Many countries actively try to attract skilled migrants with simple, points-based immigration systems and fast processing times.

      Simply having a bachelor's degree, 5+ years of work experience, and fluency in the local language will get you on the fast-track to a permanent working visa in many countries.

      • archagon 28 minutes ago ago

        At least as far as tech migrants are concerned, the points floor for Canada and Australia has become quite high in recent years.

    • UncleOxidant 8 hours ago ago

      If you're a doctor or nurse Canada is definitely saying "sure, come on in!" - they're actively recruiting in the US for healthcare workers. But that's because like most other countries they've got a shortage of health care workers. They're not likely to tell us software engineers that we can com on in.

    • socalgal2 8 hours ago ago

      According to an LLM I asked, about 80 countries have a way in for $$$.

      I was superprized it was as high as 80, assuming I can beleive the answer. I knew though that the USA is one of them. Also Singapore, since it was big news when the co-founder of Facebook did it.

    • analog31 9 hours ago ago

      One option is dual citizenship, which varies by country. I know about half a dozen people who are in various stages of applying.

    • WD-42 9 hours ago ago

      Maybe not North America and Europe, but with proof of income most countries most definitely will tell you sure, come on in!

    • Bender 8 hours ago ago

      There are a few dozen countries that one can buy citizenship. Some require investing in something or starting their own business. Search for "countries that offer citizenship for money". Some places will pay for people to move their under certain conditions and lack of criminal history.

      • toomuchtodo 8 hours ago ago

        “Golden visa” and “citizenship by investment” are good search terms to use.

    • toomuchtodo 8 hours ago ago

      If you are in Spain on a tourist visa, and apply for the equivalent of a digital nomad visa while in country, you get three years as a temporary resident. At three years, you re-apply for another two years, and after those five years you can apply for permanent residency. 80% of your income must come from outside of Spain. They’ll even take a letter from a US W2 employer as income verification. One example of an exit strategy you can move on almost immediately, depending on your circumstances.

      Resources:

      https://relocateme.substack.com/

      https://old.reddit.com/r/AmerExit/comments/urwlbr/a_guide_fo...

      https://old.reddit.com/user/Shufflebuzz/comments/1iv4dud/shu...

      https://www.helpmeleave.us/

      https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/se... (Canadian citizenship by descent)

      https://lookerstudio.google.com/reporting/b58914ce-b98d-4330... from https://pancakeonastick.substack.com/ (Digital Nomad Visa Map)

    • popularonion 8 hours ago ago

      Destination Thailand Visa is comically easy to get if you have ~$20K in savings

  • readthenotes1 9 hours ago ago

    Are they giving up citizenship as well?

    • SlightlyLeftPad 9 hours ago ago

      It could be beneficial to if working abroad because the United States is one of the only countries on the planet that taxes earned wages abroad while offering absolutely zero tangible benefits to those who do, perhaps besides the passport itself.

      • socalgal2 8 hours ago ago

        Given much of the free world depends on the US for defense, maybe it's not "zero tangible benefits"?

        Yea, it's annoying, though. Under $130k a year you don't pay. So this is a 1%-er problem. And, you still deduct your foreign taxes and just pay the difference. I'm not saying that makes it ok, but you aren't double taxed, you're just taxes as tho you were back in the USA.

        • SlightlyLeftPad 8 hours ago ago

          The hassle of being forced to pay Intuit a dime in order to pay taxes is enough to make a problem for anyone.

          Edit: grammar

        • toomuchtodo 8 hours ago ago

          The rest of the world pays for US defense through investing in US treasuries, which they are moving away from for obvious reasons. The US isn’t providing defense for free, they are compensated for it by the world buying their debt at favorable yields considering the debt load (~120% of GDP as of this comment).

          https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S

          https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN

          • applicative 7 hours ago ago

            Your argument needs ‘public debt /held by foreigners/ as percent of gdp’, I think? Or rather ‘public debt /held by foreigners to whom US provides defense/ as percent of gdp’ Then you are down to Japan.

          • pfannkuchen 8 hours ago ago

            I don’t really understand the advantage of doing it this way vs having them pay directly.

            Re debt loads - does the debt load actually materially affect default risk in this case? It’s not like US bonds are officially rated as high risk, at least. Debt to GDP is one thing but without a comparison to other bonds and their associated debt to GDP and a relationship inferred from that data it doesn’t really say anything in a vacuum. Why would it be done this way instead of just paying directly? As opposed to the more straightforward explanation of US bonds just having a favorable payout to risk ratio vs other options. It just smells like some kind of conspiratorial thinking and I’m not sure if it actually adds up.

            Honestly asking by the way, I haven’t seen anyone spell out the theory and it just seems quite hand wavey to me.

    • socalgal2 8 hours ago ago

      I don't know why you got downvoted for just asking a question. I'd be curious too. In some countries it's much easy to become a citizen (give up your previous citizenship) than it is to get permanent residency permission (in which you're still technically a citizen of your previous country)

  • hsuduebc2 9 hours ago ago

    Just out of curiosity. The companies let you work remotely from Europe and preserve remote work?

  • znpy 5 hours ago ago

    Honestly lately I’ve been feeling like this must be the perfect time to move to the US.

  • giggert 9 hours ago ago

    [flagged]

  • anonnon 8 hours ago ago

    Article is paywalled, but I'm guessing "record numbers" is still quite low in absolute terms.

    But regardless, "self-deportation" isn't a bad thing. At the very least, they may appreciate America more after spending time away from it, and if not, then they'll have found a place to live that's more to their liking. And if it becomes a bona fide trend (which it probably won't), it will help--along with reduced legal and illegal immigration, and the natural tendency for conservatives to out-breed liberals, and the high heritability of political attitudes (40-60%)--to solidify America's conservative majority.

    • MadDemon 8 hours ago ago

      Doesn't 50% heritability mean that it's a coin flip in a 2 party country? So basically no heritability?

      • anonnon 8 hours ago ago

        > coin flip

        No, you have to consider the non-genetic, environmental factors that also influence the development of political ideology, specifically the households in which children are raised and the schooling and media to which they're exposed, all of which will increasingly become conservative.

        • MadDemon 8 hours ago ago

          That does not explain how mathematically your statement of 40%-60% heritability represents anything other than a coin flip.

    • mindslight 8 hours ago ago

      because reactionaries lying to themselves that they're "conservative" have such a great track record of coming up with constructive policies </s>. Sorry bro, the actual conservatives are voting D, and there are going to be a whole lot of them based on how much your spite candidate has openly harmed our institutions. If you so desperately want to live in a backwater, you could always just move to one.

    • WD-42 6 hours ago ago

      The amount of wishful thinking, copium, and straight up bad math you managed to shove into a single paragraph is astonishing.