$800 Monthly Car Payments Are Hurting Car Sales

(nytimes.com)

22 points | by WarOnPrivacy 9 hours ago ago

26 comments

  • tzs 6 hours ago ago

    It should be noted that a significant reason that the average selling price (in constant dollars) is so much higher now ($50000 according to the article) than it was many years ago is that people are buying a higher percentage of large cars and/or luxury cars.

    If today you are buying something equivalent to what you would have bought in the past there is a good chance you will be paying a similar amount in constant dollars.

    The article links to a site that gives a list of the cheapest new cars right now. Here they are. These all include the destination charge.

      1. 2026 Hyundai Venue SE: $22,150
      2. 2026 Chevrolet Trax LS: $23,495
      3. 2026 Kia K4 LX: $23,535
      4. 2026 Nissan Sentra S: $23,845
      5. 2026 Hyundai Elantra SE: $23,870
      6. 2026 Toyota Corolla LE: $24,120
      7. 2026 Volkswagen Jetta S: $25,270
      8. 2026 Mazda3 2.5 S: $25,785
      9. 2026 Honda Civic LX: $25,890
      10. 2026 Buick Envista Preferred: $26,495
    
    I bought a Honda Civic in 1989. According to the bls.gov inflation calculator the $25890 for a 2026 Civic LX would have been $9600 in 1989. The MSRP for an 89 Civic LX was ~$10200.

    Guess what the average selling price of a new car was in 1989? $12000, which using the bls.gov calculator would be around $32000 today. In 1989 a car like the Civic was a lot closer to what the average car buyer bought than it is today.

    Note: the bls.gov inflation calculator is based on the consumer price index. It might be better to compare using the Social Security index factors, which is what the Social Security Administration uses to normalize earnings from different years when calculation benefits. Using SS index factors $25890 today would be $7450 in 1989.

    I've done similar calculations for my 2006 Honda CR-V with similar results. Same for the Sentra I had before the Civic.

    Considering how much more safety and driver assist features are in these cars compared to the same models from even only 10 years ago, the price being nearly the same in constant dollars is actually great remarkable.

    For those of us who prefer cars that are just big enough for our actual passenger/cargo carrying needs or big enough to not feel cramped (whichever is larger) the last 40+ years have been great. We pay about the same in constant dollars or a little less each time we get a new car, and it has better fuel efficiency, better safety, and better driver assist.

    • RaftPeople 6 hours ago ago

      > Guess what the average selling price of a new car was in 1989? $12000

      I bought my first new car in 1989, a Camaro with T-Tops and it cost me, $12,250.

    • hammock 6 hours ago ago

      > Considering how much more safety and driver assist features are in these cars compared to the same models from even only 10 years ago, the price being nearly the same in constant dollars is actually great remarkable.

      There is more technology in modern cars, but the cost of tech always trends down in constant dollars. (See cost per megabyte/megahertz/whatever for example)

      And while there is more size in modern cars, the build quality is worse.

      So those are two downward forces combining on car prices.

  • prepend 7 hours ago ago

    It’s surprising to me how expensive cars are. There was the Covid spike, but prices have stayed high. I suppose the manufacturers understand demand enough, but I’ve had friends buy cars recently and they didn’t even consider new cars.

    $30k for a new Honda Covic seems off. $25k for a 10 year old civic seems even crazier.

    • dmitrygr 7 hours ago ago

      it is all the new cameras and processing required by things like FMVSS127 and its predecessors

      • poloniculmov 13 minutes ago ago

        The same Toyota Corolla spec is 6000 euro more expensive now.

      • acdha 5 hours ago ago

        That’s part of it but most of it is the push to huge vehicles loaded with luxury features. The Subaru Outback we bought twenty years ago barely changed price despite gaining all of those safety features until they made it bigger and moved premium features into the new base model. Car companies were saved by cheap loan rates and normalizing previously unheard-of loan durations, and they realized that a lot of people won’t see the difference between financing $20k and $30k if they can keep the monthly payment plausible. Safety features are a popular excuse because it lets people disclaim responsibility for choosing to buy luxury features or perceived image.

        • dmitrygr 5 hours ago ago

          > Subaru Outback

          It had more margin and manufacturer squeezed it to keep prices. If you want to see real prices look at cheapest cars. Those are no-margin. And that is why their prices are up.

          This is not “an excuse”. I literally was in meetings where these cameras and extra compute were priced out in $pastJob. More cameras means more wires. More power supplies. More compute means higher end MCUs which are already very not cheap when it comes to automotive parts. More power supplies for the higher-end compute. Per-unit licensing costs for vendors’ algos to implement EAB and the like. Etc…

  • 999900000999 8 hours ago ago

    No one has any money. Expect more articles like this

  • Shitty-kitty 6 hours ago ago

    The case they gave us to consider is a guy thinking of replacing a 2020 model? Jeez, and here I am thinking my 2012 still does everything I need it to do.

  • WarOnPrivacy 9 hours ago ago
  • dmitrygr 7 hours ago ago

    > Many new models come with parking sensors, forward-looking radar and cameras, and blind-spot monitoring.

    > While those devices make driving safer, they also raise the cost of repairing cars.

    I love the passive tense, as if all those things just happened, in a vacuum, not as if politicians we voted for mandated all of that, despite warnings of costs it would incur

    • Shitty-kitty 6 hours ago ago

      In the long run, fewer accidents will lower lifetime ownership costs. Unfortunately in the short term, cars without those safety features cause much more expensive accidents.

      • dmitrygr 5 hours ago ago

        And that may be true, but the point remains: it is illegal to make cheap cars due to regulations requiring a lot of features that cost a lot of money to implement.

  • bluefirebrand 7 hours ago ago

    Why have cars become so expensive?

    My understanding is that the used car market was gutted by "cash for clunkers" style government programs

    Used to be more used cars on lots, so used cars were more affordable

    May not be the whole story but it seems likely it played a part

    • ramses0 7 hours ago ago

      Very true, but you're a decade or two late for that. IIRC Cash4Clunkers put like a $3k floor on used car value (~$5-7k in today's dollars) meaning you'd never sell your old car for $2k to an individual when you could sell it to the government for $3k.

      Per google it was started in 2009, which means any car worth less than $5k around 17 years ago isn't materially impacting new or used car prices today.

      • bluefirebrand 7 hours ago ago

        Huh

        I could have sworn the cash for clunkers thing was much more recent. Thank you for the correction

  • vcryan 6 hours ago ago

    Also, people not having money.

  • jaybrendansmith 7 hours ago ago

    Cars are not expensive. A $60,000 car, when calculated for inflation, costs the same as a $30,000 care did in 2000. What's not kept up is wages, including the minimum wage, for most of America. Had the Epstein class allowed wages to grow alongside inflation, as had been done since 1950, nobody would be complaining about affordability.

    • nradov 4 hours ago ago

      Total employee compensation has increased a lot during that period but most of that has gone towards employer contributions to group health insurance rather than cash wages.

      • homieg33 3 hours ago ago

        Such a shame too

  • bm3719 8 hours ago ago

    Maybe everyone shouldn't have a car anyway. Turn on the satellite layer in Google maps sometime, and you'll see how it's affected everything about how we organize society. Life for most humans is just sitting in various boxes only accessible by car, interspersed by car rides between them.

    We're a species of motile organisms. Not only do we have legs, to not use them is actively unhealthy. If we're going to just sit in chairs all the time, we might as well get rid of all this useless leg biomass and redesign our houses and offices accordingly.

    It's worse than this though, because that's just the physical dimension to our existence. The car is a mediating apparatus that alienates man from his social field. Man is a social animal, and needs sociality to maintain mental stability. If there's always a car between you and members of your own species, intersubjective experiences will simply occur less, which is exactly what happened when everyone got one.

    • 4d4m 7 hours ago ago

      Do you have a vehicle?

    • krapp 7 hours ago ago

      >Life for most humans is just sitting in various boxes only accessible by car, interspersed by car rides between them

      And a hundred years ago life for most humans was just sitting in various boxes only accessible by walking, or horse if they were rich enough, and there were far fewer boxes to choose from.

      There isn't always a car between members of our species and intersubjective experiences happen more often than they did prior to mass transit because cars allow for greater range and more efficient travel, and thus access to more people and more experiences.

      There are entire cultures that have developed around cars and car ownership that facilitate bonding and community between individuals.

      I'm all for reducing automobile usage and creating more walkable environments but the premise that cars primarily serve to alienate and isolate people seems wrong on its face.

      • bm3719 7 hours ago ago

        All this is only true in the singular relation sense. The car has had a scattering effect. It's made the suburb possible. Most of our family members and past friends are scattered all over due to the car's existence in the first place. If not for the car, most of them would be right in your village. Not only would they be clustered in your immediate vicinity, but they would be inextricably integrated into your village life, creating a deeper social connection with your community.

        The car casts every social group that temporarily forms to the wind. When you go visit your distant relative 3 hrs away, you only have that genetic connection left. You've lost the multiplicity that would've existed otherwise. The car gives, sure. That's why we ended up with them. But it also took away, and some of those costs were secondary, transitive, or hidden.

        • tharkun__ 6 hours ago ago

          That isn't the cars fault in that sense. Compare a lot of Europe with a lot of America.

          Both locations have cars.

          Exceptions in both locations prove some rules.