206 comments

  • someguyornotidk 3 days ago ago

    If this becomes the norm, what incentive does the rest of the world have to keep their markets open to the US?

    If US companies have a large unfair advantage such that domestic competitors are no longer able to compete, then wouldn't it make sense for governments around the world to ban or tariff US products and services?

    If I was responsible for national economic policy, I would place this at the top of my non-emergency agenda. The world needs to act quick before their industries fail.

    • pythux 3 days ago ago

      It might not be a coincidence that POTUS wrote yesterday on Truth Social that 100% tariffs would be imposed on any country proceeding with taxing US' digital services.

    • _heimdall 3 days ago ago

      This is far from a new challenge though. Another recent example, China has an advantage on cost of labor and manufacturing, and lack of enforcement of IP rights. They can produce for much cheaper than many other countries but it hasn't led to everyone banning trade with them.

    • _3u10 2 days ago ago

      They don’t, they wouldn’t need tariffs if they did.

      America mostly produces cheaper ag commodities than the EU but more expensive than South America. Deepseek is already a better search engine than Google. (Not sure if it does Google searches)

      Travel the world it’s not American companies gaining market share. I would especially recommend trying Chinese AI or riding in a BYD car and judging for yourself.

    • Balgair 2 days ago ago

      > The world needs to act quick before their industries fail.

      It's a cost problem. If you want to try for a SOTA model, you're going to need to spend big time.

      Germany spent ~$115B last year on it's defense, roughly 2% of it's GDP.

      In contrast, ~$145B was spent last year just on AI infrastructure by Meta, and, well no one talks about Meta winning any AI races.

    • HexPhantom 3 days ago ago

      It feels less like a pure tech market now and more like cloud, semiconductors and defense policy all getting mixed together

    • varispeed 2 days ago ago

      You are assuming that governments care and are not corrupt.

      I think they have very little room for manoeuvre - companies like AWS or Microsoft can simply you are too cocky and we will shutdown infrastructure your country is running on if you don't bend the knee.

    • Chance-Device 3 days ago ago

      Yes, this is exactly the implication. The decoupling of economies between those that have advanced AI, those who do not, and those who decide to ban AI outright or above a certain level of capacity.

    • undefined 2 days ago ago
      [deleted]
    • undefined 2 days ago ago
      [deleted]
    • sajithdilshan 2 days ago ago

      One would have to have leverage to put tariff on US and not worry about retaliation. Almost every country is tightly coupled with US, let it be trade or reliance on technology.

      I can only think of Russia that is decoupled from US at the moment and they are stuck with Putin that still lives with imperial mindset rather than actually being a rival to US

    • mantas 3 days ago ago

      The rest of the world already has quite a few restrictions.

    • m3kw9 2 days ago ago

      We don't need more fear mongering with AI, it already made a mess. Industries are not gonna fail, they fall behind, like how US doesn't share weapon tech or certain IP's. Plus you have China providing a close 2nd/3rd place LLM tech for free.

    • mrtksn 2 days ago ago

      The incentive is that Americans are huge consumers and closing markets to US also means losing US markets, that's why Trump's taxation on Americans for imports(AKA tariffs) caused huge stir. That said, if the risk is not tolerable then it's not worth it and can be sacrificed. EU was fully on board to do that if Trump invaded Greenland and EU as rest of the world are aggressively diversifying.

      BTW EU will never have a "tech" industry in any meaningful size as long as US have access to EU markets, anyone who eventually got tech industry are those who blocked the US or were blocked by US.

      So if US keeps its course, in a few years we may end up with fragmented markets with US blocked out because the US is very unpopular but the current politicians everywhere including in the EU are very pro-US actually hoping that current situation is just a glitch, which is not aligned with what the general population demands and as a result the next elections they will align with anti-Americans.

    • mmooss 2 days ago ago

      > If US companies have a large unfair advantage

      The US companies with access have a large unfair advantage over other US companies.

      Imagine being Rivian if Tesla gets access, Rocket Lab or Blue Origin others if SpaceX gets access, most of SV if major tech companies get access, ... imagine being a startup.

    • WarmWash 2 days ago ago

      Its utterly unsurprising that in the reckoning of pro-socialist society (work less, tax more, live easy), the failure of European industry over the last 30 years, utterly unsurprising that the knee-jerk reaction is "You need to share your labor with all of us" rather than "We need to get our shit together and build a competitor"

      Europe isn't cooked because it lacks talent, there are untold smart capable people there, it's cooked because it built a social allergy to the very thing it needs most.

    • outside1234 2 days ago ago

      Worse, why would you ever take a dependency on a US company. Even China seems more trustworthy at this point.

    • grumple 3 days ago ago

      Is the rest of the world really that dependent on emerging AI? I don’t think so. The US could cut off all foreign access to AI, nobody would notice.

    • spwa4 3 days ago ago

      The US as a large-scale import nation and so does not need the rest of the world (except perhaps Europe, and only small parts) to keep its markets open to the US.

      Even in the European case, Europe would lose much more than the US would if they closed their markets. Plus, a lot of Europe is either very close to breaking point and unwilling to change (Italy), or rapidly worsening into a crash, and unwilling to change (France).

      It's Europe that is dependent on a large trade surplus with the rest of the world, financed by dollar loans to 3rd world countries. Now China is taking away their trade surplus, even directly (meaning Europe has a massive trade deficit to China), and indirectly (replacing demand for European goods, famously cars, everywhere). This is causing large-scale job losses in Europe as well as total disaster for government finances across the block, finances that were unhealthy to begin with.

      Now Europe and China are unwilling to lend to the rest of the world (because initially that would make very rich Europeans/the CCP a little bit poorer, by raising inflation quite a bit, thereby raising interest rates, which will move government finances from disaster to catastrophe), so if these money flows are to keep going, either the US MUST export to China, which is not happening, or EU and/or China must loan several times their own GDP to the third world, or the EU and/or China must massively increase their dollar holdings (which will, of course, inflate the Euro and Renminbi something awful whichever way it goes). But either WILL happen, because a crash will do that too. Which is what people mean when they say the worldwide system is on a crash course.

  • K0balt 2 days ago ago

    The real reason, afaik, that the US is trying to restrict access to SOTA models is that a very large component of USA tailored access and surveillance relies on exploits and weaknesses that these models will easily detect.

    Thus, it really is an export control issue, but it has nothing to do with offensive capabilities. Offensive capabilities always exist, but pervasive defensibility would upset the asymmetric advantage that attackers, especially the USA, currently have.

    There are now Asian models coming , optimized focused on cybersecurity defense at a high level, so I suspect this will be a relatively moot point soon.

    LLMs are not great at creating exploits, but they are really good at detecting them. That asymmetry alone is enough to destroy the “offensive capabilities” narrative.

    Yes, mythos can find exploitable bugs, even write bench exploits. But real exploits require a good dose of human psychology, and most of the tools needed are off the shelf available anyway. You still need a real cybersecurity expert to effectively weaponize a zero day into a deployable exploit.

    But an LLM can inspect payloads, packages, and blobs en masse and find those exploits in a way that was wholly impractical before, so the asymmetric attack advantage is dissolved by strong LLMs.

    The USA is trying to protect its cyberwarfare advantage, not protect against attackers. The exact opposite, actually. Porous security is a huge advantage to technologically advanced state actors.

    • wrsh07 2 days ago ago

      This is the most credible-seeming claim about why a competent administration might suspend access (by any means necessary, but also by export controls) to models like Fable

      However, I haven't seen any prominent articles proposing this theory, I haven't seen anyone in the administration gesturing towards this as the reason (but haven't been following too closely)

      Do you have any sources?

      (And in fact, it seemed like an obvious hypothesis that wasn't getting much air time in the first weekend, but again, I didn't see anybody really staking a claim to it except in a few comments or tweets like this one)

    • sneak 2 days ago ago

      If only we had a good term for someone good at this stuff less unwieldy than “cybersecurity expert”. (Then someone could start a news site for us.)

      As someone in the field for 30+ years, I find that, generally speaking, the only groups that use this term are charlatans and military/military-adjacent. The military use has been slowly leaking into the general public, but I quite wish it would stop.

  • theahura 3 days ago ago

    > “I have determined that appropriate safeguards are in place to permit certain trusted partners to access the Claude Mythos 5 Model,” Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick wrote to Anthropic’s chief compute officer Tom Brown Friday

    why is the commerce secretary making this decision

    • naturalmovement 3 days ago ago

      [flagged]

    • ed_elliott_asc 3 days ago ago

      My tin foil hat version of myself says it is because the whole thing is a marketing stunt and certain members of the administration are getting kick backs for it.

    • linohh 3 days ago ago

      corruption

    • DSingularity 3 days ago ago

      [flagged]

  • mlinsey 3 days ago ago

    I understand why Anthropic might not want to fight this particular one in court, because they're trying to convince the administration to let them move forward.

    But would another company who is not on the trusted partner list and has less to lose taking on the admin have standing to sue here? On the basis of the export control being illegal and this putting their business at a disadvantage vs. competitors with access

    • zarzavat 3 days ago ago

      Technically the US government is allowing Anthropic to serve the models to any US citizen, and it's Anthropic who decided that's impossible to comply with and so they pulled the model for everyone. I guess a US business with non-citizen employees could work.

      A lawsuit would be a hard sell though, because Anthropic themselves argued that the technology is dangerous. Even if many people on HN might think that Anthropic was scaremongering about Mythos, a court is probably going to take their assessment at face value, and courts are loathe to find against governments in cases of national security.

      There's also the issue that these models are getting better through an iterative process, so even if the line between GPT 5.5 and Fable/GPT 5.6 is somewhat arbitrary, it doesn't mean that the government shouldn't be able to draw a line at all. So you're left arguing that they drew the line too early, which is subjective.

    • naturalmovement 3 days ago ago

      Export control is not illegal where are you coming up with this stuff?

      Claiming ignorance is a good way to pay tens of millions of $ in fines or do prison time.

      Here's one from TWO DAYS AGO:

      https://www.justice.gov/usao-edny/pr/manager-us-freight-forw...

      She will be doing 18 months in federal lockup.

      The people in charge of enforcing US export law are worse than city building inspectors and the penalties are orders of magnitude more severe. They're not people you want to mess with, ignore, or pretend you didn't know the rules.

    • threethirtytwo 3 days ago ago

      Also there’s no incentive to fight. They already have one of the best models. Mythos remains a trump card when a competitor releases an even better model.

    • siva7 3 days ago ago

      sue? whom? usa? have fun..

    • intrasight 3 days ago ago

      They could just ignore Trump as he has no authority to so limit a private company.

  • theturtletalks 3 days ago ago

    >> More than 100 companies and institutions will now have access to Mythos 5, including many Fortune 500 companies, a source familiar with the new directive said, declining to be identified due to the sensitivity of the matter.

    Who are those 100 companies? Clearly they can't compete on merit and have rubbed some hands to be picked as winners...at least for now.

    • fma 2 days ago ago

      May have an overlap of which political campaign they donate too.

    • itopaloglu83 3 days ago ago

      I don’t know if this has something to do with the administration or access to export controlled technology. There could be a licensing process, but I don’t think it would be public information, we don’t know whom each defense contractor sells to as public.

  • baq 3 days ago ago

    I’m on record saying mistral needs 50B euros asap; I’ll admit this was wrong, they need more sooner

    • re-thc 3 days ago ago

      Doesn’t help unless they get GPUs or equivalent to train.

    • klohto 3 days ago ago

      To do what exactly? They have been nothing but EU funds leech and corporiders.

      Every single model is (and always was) behind anything from China.

      I wish Europe could find one company that can put us on the map but Mistral’s not it. They have repeatedly shown that extra funding doesn’t magically transfer to better models.

    • kruxigt 3 days ago ago

      [dead]

  • OtherShrezzing 3 days ago ago

    What’ll happen when Google Deep Mind go to release their next models, developed mostly in London?

    Are Google going to end up in a situation where the people working on their models cannot use the models after launch?

    • ben_w 3 days ago ago

      > What’ll happen when Google Deep Mind go to release their next models, developed mostly in London?

      I am a British citizen living in Berlin, and even when making apps purely for the German market I still have to go through US export restrictions: https://developer.apple.com/help/app-store-connect/manage-ap...

      I'd assume that Deep Mind, being owned by a US company and having US offices, has to care about US law, despite the differences (me: small fry; them: actually having offices there), because the chain of enforcement is still "take it or leave it" at each stage (USG->Google->DeepMind vs USG->Apple->3rd party Apple devs).

    • t0mas88 3 days ago ago

      These are export restrictions, so if the model is in London (how do you determine that? The weights? The training itself?) there is no need to export it from the US. Then Google may have found gold. They can sell it to everyone that can't get the best OpenAI or Anthropic models.

    • dgellow 3 days ago ago

      It’s whatever the Trump admin decides. There are no rules here, we are past that

    • TiredOfLife 3 days ago ago

      Restrictions are on good models. You might as well ask what would happen when Microsoft open sources Office

    • re-thc 3 days ago ago

      > What’ll happen when Google Deep Mind go to release their next models, developed mostly in London?

      Unless you open source it then Google Deep Mind isn't the entity "releasing" it. It's some other Google that's US based, e.g. Google Cloud running the APIs etc.

      User -> Google -> Google Deep Mind.

      So nope, same restrictions apply.

  • alanwreath 3 days ago ago

    I’m not sure what the US government is trying to do. At first it seems like they are just trying to stifle some company that said no. Now they are just doing free publicity. It’s like never before have I wanted to try something out as much as this.

    They’re in effect saying “nothing else is as powerful as what Anthropic put out”. Even though that might not really be the case it’s what it sounds like.

    • ryandrake 3 days ago ago

      It’s probably just basic corruption. Want access to Mythos for your company? Enrich someone in the administration. That’s how everything works now: they outlaw/tariff it and then you pay a bribe to get it back or get declared exempt.

    • deaux 3 days ago ago

      Could you share some pictures of the rock you're living under? The US regime is concerned with furthering the interests of a closed circle of powerful loyals. This achieves that goal. Access is reserved to those loyals.

    • c2h5oh 3 days ago ago

      Cynic in me thinks it's some or all of the following:

      - extract monetary contributions for their side of political spectrum from ai companies

      - extract money for personal gain

      - grokify ai answers on political / worldview topics, because polls are showing people trust ai answers more than wikipedia

    • drcode 3 days ago ago

      they're flailing is what they're doing

    • undefined 3 days ago ago
      [deleted]
    • lawn 3 days ago ago

      Grift. It's all about the grift.

    • SpicyLemonZest 3 days ago ago

      Is there any evidence at all that would convince you that they're trying to mitigate real risks that actually exist?

  • Alien1Being 3 days ago ago

    Don't start to rely on it .

    The US might remove access next month in a fit of pique.

    The Chinese models look increasingly more reliable and safer.

    • tyre 3 days ago ago

      This is a pithy internet comment, but terrible advice.

      Between the Chinese government and Anthropic, I know which one I'd rather send tokens to. For all of the problems of the US, for-profit corporations, data harvesting, etc. the CCP (and, perhaps more troublesome, its allies) is far less likely to align with your interests.

    • DANmode 3 days ago ago

      Safer?

  • bluecalm 3 days ago ago

    Is there any scenario where it's not catastrophic for for the frontier labs?

    They just got their market cut to a fraction. Investing in new tech is now very risky because even if things work out you might not be able to sell anything.

    There were already serious doubts about ROI for the frontier labs. If they can only sell to 100 or so entities it's over business wise.

    What's the endgame here?

    • dansquizsoft 3 days ago ago

      It's bad, very bad, for the frontier labs.

  • exabrial 3 days ago ago

    How does my small company become a "trusted partner"?

    • willsmith72 3 days ago ago

      Oh you thought this was a competitive free market?

    • flipbrad 3 days ago ago

      Donate to his ballroom project, perhaps? Pay for tokens with his crypto coin?

    • goatlover 3 days ago ago

      This administration doesn't care about small companies anymore than it cares about regular Americans.

    • apexalpha 3 days ago ago

      Donate money to your President, probably.

    • phaser 3 days ago ago

      Easy, pivot to the military industrial complex, dummy!

  • bel8 3 days ago ago

    This makes me sad since it implies that the best LLM I will ever be allowed to use is GPT 5.5 and Opus 4.8. Anything smarter than that is deemed too risky.

    So much wasted potential.

    And why would I pay Anthropic or OpenAI once consumer hardware gets powerful enough to run an open weight Chinese version of Opus 4.8? Even more so when mobile phones are able to run similar LLMs.

    Their financial growth looks doomed. It looks like they will be heavily regulated just like the next missile factory. This is antagonist to VC led turbo growth startup regime.

    • sschueller 3 days ago ago

      The LLM improvement curve will level off and with so many AI engineering being in China they will catch up quickly.

      The financial growth based on that everyone on earth will need to have an OpenAI or Anthropic subscription is quickly falling apart.

      DeepSeek V4 is good enough for most of my work that that I can no longer justify paying 100x for something else. The cost difference is astronomical.

    • cmrdporcupine 2 days ago ago

      Right, I cancelled my Codex sub yesterday, it ends today. I'm not American and I see the writing on the wall, I'd just as soon improve my tooling to work more effectively with "stupider" open weight models than be dependent on Lutnick and Bessent for "permission" to use the frontier models.

      Sad situation is that half the talent that did the primary research and initially created these models and got them out there was educated here or taught here or have citizenship here in Canada. Karpathy, Sutskever, Hinton, there's a huge list. And for other countries, too.

      In the short term this play may work for the US administration, in the long run it will only reduce the flow of talent and good will and sharing between G7 nations.

    • andxor 3 days ago ago

      That's not what is implied. Fable may still be widely available.

    • timurlenk 3 days ago ago

      Well, now I'm rooting for the Europeans/chinese to develop something better and release it.

      One can hope.

    • HexPhantom 3 days ago ago

      I share the sadness, but I'm not sure the consumer market was ever the main prize here

    • johnisgood 3 days ago ago

      Cannot you just obtain them the same way you would obtain any copyrighted material and use them locally?

    • ifwinterco 3 days ago ago

      The last bit might be the point - this has all got a bit out of hand, the US government might have decided now is the time to prick this bubble.

      Either because ordinary people hate it or (more likely) because Sam and Dario have got too powerful and they’re now starting to become a genuine rival castle to the US government in elite theory terms - of course at that point you get your wings clipped

  • avaer 3 days ago ago

    I wonder if the Founding Fathers knew about AI, they would include it in the 2nd?

    The spirit is to provide effective tools for the people to resist federal military tyranny, and Mythos seems like it would be a good tool to defend against that, for so many reasons.

    • aesthesia 3 days ago ago

      I'm not sure that analogy works: pretty much everyone agrees that there are some types of weapons civilians shouldn't be able to have, even though they might be very effective for resisting military tyranny.

    • TheDong 3 days ago ago

      As Iran is showing, the federal government is worried about nukes. I feel like a modern 2nd amendment should ensure every US citizen has a right to up to three (3) nuclear weapons.

    • undefined 2 days ago ago
      [deleted]
    • tyre 3 days ago ago

      Could you explain this like I'm 35?

    • undefined 3 days ago ago
      [deleted]
    • taintlord 3 days ago ago

      [dead]

  • OkWing99 3 days ago ago

    So what happens to their $1T valuations now, given they can't sell the product to consumers, and open-weight models are closing in on competition?

    • DrProtic 3 days ago ago

      I have a feeling that’s the same question Whitehouse asked Anthropic and OpenAI.

    • cogman10 2 days ago ago

      Yeah, it seems like this makes a massive cut into their possible revenue.

    • dgellow 3 days ago ago

      Ask SpaceX. There is no rational for those valuations, it’s pure FOMO

  • __alexs 3 days ago ago

    I don't understand how this doesn't entirely screw the TAM for these companies?

    As an EU company I think I now basically have to consider US AI as hostile and avoid it.

    • dgellow 3 days ago ago

      > As an EU company I think I now basically have to consider US AI as hostile and avoid it

      Yes, that’s the only sane conclusion. And yes it does screw the TAM, but it’s not like the AI vendors had actual realistic economic plans to begin with

    • bvcp 3 days ago ago

      Watch the eu do the same thing

    • subscribed 3 days ago ago

      AFAIR there was the evidence posted for the specific three letter creeps snooping specifically on Airbus and sending everything to Boeing, long time ago, when "Echelon" was considered a tinfoil hat conspiracy.

    • vld_chk 3 days ago ago

      > now

      Unfortunately, Europe should had made this conclusion at least 18 months ago, not now.

      Watch out European politics procrastinate for at least one more year hoping that Trump will reverse. Then procrastinate more, because “elections soon, maybe Dems will win and reverse”.

      I live in Europe and will never go to work in the US; but EU/UK inability to solve national security problems is beyond pathetic.

  • amarant 3 days ago ago

    Dear anthropic, please consider moving your entire business to Canada or Europe where you will be allowed to conduct your business without vindictive and Kafkaesque government interference. I would like to have access to your models too!

    • petcat 3 days ago ago

      > where you will be allowed to conduct your business without vindictive and Kafkaesque government interference

      Isn't this basically the reason that no major tech labs or startups ever come out of Canada or Europe though?

    • kilroy123 2 days ago ago

      I'd say the UK would be better. DeepMind is in London.

    • daseiner1 3 days ago ago

      famously friendly business environments europe & canada

      lol

  • Hawkenfall 3 days ago ago

    This appears to be only for Mythos 5 access, NOT Fable 5.

    • irthomasthomas 3 days ago ago

      So only 100 companies have exclusive access to frontier AI.

    • sourthyme 3 days ago ago

      Aren't these the same models?

  • goldenarm 3 days ago ago

    Is there a world where frontier labs move to somewhere else like London to escape the business hurdles of the US? There are trillions at stake, is it a plausible scenario?

    • ben_w 3 days ago ago

      A world, yes. Plausible, no.

      The US is already seeing energy market distortions from the power use of AI; the UK has a much smaller total electricity supply, both from a lower population and the baseline per person being lower.

      Total UK demand in 2023 was 316.8 TWh[0], or an average of about 36 GW. The US currently has 33 GW of data centres, and the AI boom plan, so far as discern actual plans from AI hallucinations in the modern web, is about ten times that.

      From the scales people talk about, my expectation is that even the smaller additional supply needed for the constant churn of newly trained frontier models would probably exceed what London alone can manage.

      [0] generation less than that, it has imports; chapter 5: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/66a7e14da3c2a...

      [1] https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=316.8+TWh+%2F+year

    • merek 3 days ago ago

      Why London of all places?

    • eamag 3 days ago ago

      They already have offices in London and Zurich, but it doesn't let them to escape anything

    • theplumber 3 days ago ago

      London sucks, not to mention the UK’s political future seems even more nationalistic than MAGA

  • outside1234 3 days ago ago

    Is there a list of the partners that get access? That should be public, right?

  • theahura 3 days ago ago

    usgov picking winners and losers in AI --> usgov picking winners and losers in every industry (speedrun, any %)

  • jimnotgym 3 days ago ago

    This will be more validation that the rest of the world needs to be very wary of US technology.

  • chvid 3 days ago ago

    It never made same sense that the most capable model was used by the CIA to create vault 7-like exploits while the same model was being used by another government project / random little people to patch up the vulnerabilities the exploits relied on.

  • tonyrice 3 days ago ago

    I'm looking forward to better open source models. Now I just need to afford the compute to run these models.

    • randomNumber7 3 days ago ago

      Most people can't afford 6 digits for hardware that deprecates in a couple of years.

  • andrewchambers 3 days ago ago

    This seems like it will have pretty huge negative affects on startups needing to compete with 'trusted partners'

    • andy99 3 days ago ago

      Other than maybe some in-the-moment cybersec wrappers, is this really true? Does anyone think a startup with a good product is going to be materially disadvantaged by not having access to an incrementally better security focused LLM release? It’s lots of fun to pretend it’s some step-change that’s too dangerous for general release, but in real life it’s not conferring some massive advantage that any real startup would need to compete. Almost everyone would be best just to ignore it and keep building.

      (Just to be clear, I think the gatekeeping is ridiculous, especially given the above)

    • A_D_E_P_T 3 days ago ago

      Startups don't have as much money to spend on lobbying and gifts, though.

  • dagaci 3 days ago ago

    So the general public get to bail-out & subsidize Anthropic / and downstream xAI/SpaceX via the State Wallet, but of course with no access.

    • KoolKat23 3 days ago ago

      It's fairly obvious at this point, it's a plutocracy.

  • OptionOfT 2 days ago ago

    Well, I think right now Antropic is going crazy with their safety rules. I got banned after creating a new account for a new employer. Went through some code with Claude Code, and that's... it. Came back the following morning and I was banned.

    10 days for an appeal is too long. Company is a startup, so no team/enterprise support.

  • bastard_op 3 days ago ago

    China will just buy a "trusted partner" one way or another.

    It's like the epidemic of scam nvidia cards being resold without gpu or memory - where do you think those are going?

  • SwellJoe 3 days ago ago

    "I have determined that appropriate safeguards are in place to permit certain trusted partners to access the Claude Mythos 5 Model"

    I assume "trusted partners" means, "companies that have bribed Trump an appropriate amount". A few million for the inauguration, a few million for the ballroom, a few million on a movie about Melania, the don wants a taste.

  • __natty__ 3 days ago ago

    And we get the news the same time OpenAI releases 5.6. What a coincidence?

    • mrandish 3 days ago ago

      I think they kind of had to since they allowed OpenAI to do a 5.6 "preview to trusted parties" today. The other driver is that the DoD/NSA wanted to get access to Mythos again. I figure OAI will now do several weeks of 'preview' like Anthropic did with Mythos. When OAI wants to release 5.6 wider to actually start making money with it, I expect Fable will get approved the same day.

      Back when the administration hit Mythos/Fable with the surprise ban, I figured this would be the endgame. They'd keep Anthropic tied up until a competitor had a roughly comparable model ready, then gate them the same.

    • xorgun 3 days ago ago

      [dead]

  • penguin_booze 3 days ago ago

    Trusted US organisation: this must be the latest oxymoron.

  • jurschreuder 3 days ago ago

    It's a win-win game because both Anthropic and the Government are on the front page again pulling on important leavers.

    In the mass-marketing world it's less about who's right or wrong but who is perceived by the population to be pulling the leavers on the front page again.

    • gizzlon 3 days ago ago

      I think this could crash the stock market: Their TAM is now a small percentage of what it was, with all the second and third otder effects that follow from that

  • jauntywundrkind 3 days ago ago

    * to some US companies.

    Asterisk the size of a Mac truck.

    Also this administration having say over who gets access to what AI is just so much more grift corruption and picking your favorites / destroying others, for these incdecent undemocratic in American grifters who've seized our state.

    • wolvoleo 3 days ago ago

      If this is the way things are now, isn't that going to crash the AI stocks? All those trillions dumped into it probably weren't with the expectation that it could only be sold to a handful of select US agencies and corporations.

  • lwhi 3 days ago ago

    The current digital hellscape that's developing is something we've been warned about consistently over the past 30 years.

    All these dangers were known and predicted.

    There's an uncanny parallel with the climate crisis.

    Fatalistic somnambulism.

    • dgellow 3 days ago ago

      But contrary to the climate crisis and what all the AI boosters are saying, it is not inevitable. Its something that is actively being built, it’s not something that just happens. It can be stopped, a different system can exist. The AI crowd also hasn’t proven at all that what they are building can self sustain. So far the economics are monstrously bad, there is no viable business model

  • chopete3 3 days ago ago

    It is interesting that there is no public announcement from the US government or Anthropic on this topic. That means there is no form to apply to be a trusted partner.

    Does it mean US is allowing accessing to governments' exclusive list?

  • qprofyeh 3 days ago ago

    No one seeing this as Musk and SpaceX leveraging government support to close the IPO doors on OpenAI and Anthropic?

    I know it’s a bold statement but look at this timing and their valuations going south.

  • tracerbulletx 3 days ago ago

    Imposing a licensing system on models for limiting domestic use should require an act of congress but I mean obviously we're well past that red line.

    • coffeemug 3 days ago ago

      Regulatory agencies limit uses of other products without acts of congress-- cigarettes, vapes, drugs, pesticides, chemicals, explosives. Even firearms, despite a constitutional amendment! Why not models? (Note I am not arguing it's a good idea; I'm making a narrow argument that there is precedent.)

      EDIT: I agree that it should require an act of Congress to explicitly delegate this power.

    • motbus3 3 days ago ago

      I wonder what kind of emergency will happen when real elections get around

    • az226 3 days ago ago

      And even if a court places an injunction on the ban, it's possible Anthropic will still choose to keep it unavailable.

    • tiahura 3 days ago ago

      They did. Defense Production Act (50 U.S.C. § 4511 );Export Control Reform Act, 50 U.S.C. § 4812 are just two of them.

    • actionfromafar 3 days ago ago

      Overturning the Chevron doctrine is good because it stops lawful people from doing things we don't like. We aren't bound by laws, so we can do whatever we want.

      -- GOP probably

  • espeed 3 days ago ago

    Are Cyber Verification Program (CVP) members included in this?: "We also intend to scale up our Cyber Verification Program, which would grant Mythos-class capabilities to many more organizations for specific cyberdefense tasks" (https://www.anthropic.com/news/expanding-project-glasswing).

  • everyone 2 days ago ago

    This is just more marketing hype imo.. "omg its sooo good it has to be restricted"

  • layla5alive 3 days ago ago

    The Cantillon Effect applied to machine intelligence..

  • HexPhantom 3 days ago ago

    Hard to see how this does not turn into export controls for models, just with a lot more ambiguity

  • WhereIsTheTruth 2 days ago ago

    When will the world retaliate? They have been stealing data globally

  • undefined 3 days ago ago
    [deleted]
  • gcanyon 2 days ago ago

    Hopefully this points toward Fable becoming available again.

  • pertymcpert 3 days ago ago

    Why would they allow Mythos but not Fable? Fable is the one with more guardrails.

    • layer8 3 days ago ago

      They only allow it for specific companies and agencies, which are trusted with the less restricted model. The general public is still not trusted to use Fable, apparently.

    • nozzlegear 3 days ago ago

      To quote famed businessman and philosopher Eugene Krabs: "Money."

    • LoganDark 2 days ago ago

      The ban was on "Mythos-class models" which unfortunately includes Fable regardless of guardrails.

  • kristopolous 3 days ago ago

    Next time someone tells you this is the party of free market and small government, I guess you just laugh now?

    • GolfPopper 3 days ago ago

      I've been laughing when people tell me that for my entire adult life. It remains a pretty funny bit of dark humor, though.

    • jandrewrogers 3 days ago ago

      The authority under which this was done has been operative and actively used for several decades. It isn't a partisan issue, it is a policy of American governance. Anyone that has worked on frontier "dual use" technologies will be familiar with the legal regime.

      The only thing that changed is people are writing articles about it in the news media.

    • y1n0 3 days ago ago

      Well, there are the political ideals expressed or embraced by the populace, and then there are politicians. AFAICT political parties at the national level and state level in the US is pure theater.

    • rikfckfj284 3 days ago ago

      the question isn’t about size, it’s about who the government works for. Small government can promote private interests by not entering certain societal spaces, leaving them for profit making — education, healthcare, housing etc. But large government can also promote private interests, by directing tax dollars to corporations (and still not entering certain societal spaces).

      It’s not about size, it’s about where it chooses to operate

    • nutjob2 3 days ago ago

      Also free speech/the first amendment and various other rights people are supposed to have but don't in practice.

    • Gagarin1917 3 days ago ago

      Now?

    • paytonjjones 3 days ago ago

      That's always been a relative, rather than absolute statement.

      Genuine question: if Democrats take power, do you expect them to be more interventionist or less interventionist with respect to AI? Bernie's jockeying leads me to suspect "more", but I could very well be wrong.

      (FWIW I personally think modern AI falls in the small realm of potentially dangerous technologies that merit careful, ideally bipartisan, government oversight)

    • seemaze 3 days ago ago

      Having an a collective economy governed by the “free market” is like having a pile of stones governed by gravity. There exists a primary directive force, but if you want to construct a cathedral or a bomb shelter, you need to impose some constraints, lest you revert to the angle of repose.

    • jknoepfler 3 days ago ago

      Ever since I've been conscious (the 80s), it's been the party of fear, violence and greed. They've consistently nominated actual clowns for positions of power. B-movie actor Ronald Reagan... Dan Quayle... Sarah Palin... the current, truly stunning iteration of absolute moral and intellectual bankruptcy TWICE after he killed hundreds of thousands of people due to COVID/vaccine skepticism and staged a violent attack on the capitol after losing a democratic election.

      Free market? Small government? Big police state, trillions in defense contractor grift, unsustainable tax breaks to the wealthiest leading to massive spending deficits... all while doing everything to erode access to education, healthcare and basic services.

      It is just utterly baffling to me. I'm... well along the spectrum... so people not responding correctly to obvious information is just something I've gotten used to but just... wow.

      edit: typo

    • sharts 3 days ago ago

      Free for me, not for thee

    • paulddraper 3 days ago ago

      Then cry as you look for the free market/small government leaders.

    • digitaltrees 3 days ago ago

      If you laugh you’re a communist and against Christianity and part of a satanic cabal.

    • undefined 3 days ago ago
      [deleted]
    • az226 3 days ago ago

      Not just that, Biden administration started with some AI regulation that the Trump administration nixed, and then outright banning models. Lunacy.

    • ch4s3 3 days ago ago

      They haven’t claimed to be the free market party since Obama was in office. Trump very much ran an anti free market campaign the first time.

  • swingboy 3 days ago ago

    How would export controls apply if OpenAI or Anthropic released a model as open weights? Not that they would, but asking out of curiosity.

  • lobocinza 2 days ago ago

    This is great for open-source tooling and models. And bad for AI hype which depends on exponential continuous growth.

  • olalonde 3 days ago ago

    It feels the U.S. is moving closer to a textbook definition of crony capitalism. Really sad but unsurprising with the current administration.

    • mullingitover 3 days ago ago

      I don't think you can move closer to something that you're already fully enmeshed in.

      The rate that the ruling class ran into crony capitalism at the first chance they got is something that needs to be remembered. They'll try to act like they were always against it at some point in the near future.

  • niraj898 3 days ago ago

    The funny thing is, they are planning to just use it for US government and not allow public to use fable 5 atleast..

  • monksy 3 days ago ago

    I can't wait till employees start helping with the distillation process.

  • truthbe 3 days ago ago

    Open source should create a new license where it specifically doesn't allow release to these "trusted partners".

    • digitaltrees 3 days ago ago

      And blocks not just training on the oss code but use of it by models. If they want to build on the shoulders of us plebes they shouldn’t be able to include our code in their vibe coded bs

  • sscaryterry 3 days ago ago

    I thought Fable was a "safer" Mythos?!

  • edyos 3 days ago ago

    They play the game of China, they are stupid. US, as EU, lost everything with this stupid posture.

  • Henchman21 3 days ago ago

    This is what “stacking the deck” looks like

  • nozzlegear 3 days ago ago

    Wowee, just happens to be on the same day of OpenAI's Sol announcement. How convenient for Dario and Anthropic!

  • jchook 3 days ago ago

    The entire arc reads as a marketing stunt rather than a legitimate national security threat. Maybe Anthropic asked the US for this action to be taken.

    edit: > Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick (lol)

    Fable was out for 3 days, not really long enough for us to properly evaluate it, but the "Sorry we had to remove Fable. Read more. (because it's too powerful btw)" is loudly shown every chance they get for weeks. It creates a halo.

    Reminiscent of the 1999 Apple G4 commercial where they displayed it next to military tanks. "For the first time in history, a personal computer has been classified as a weapon by the U.S. government."

  • ksimukka 3 days ago ago

    ok, who in the EU is working on our own frontier model? surely we have the drive and ability?

  • andai 3 days ago ago

    Weren't they already doing that?

  • pheggs 3 days ago ago
  • chinathrow 3 days ago ago

    Begun the AI wars have.

  • micromacrofoot 3 days ago ago

    america is worrying about a civil war and missing the corporate takeover

  • standardUser 3 days ago ago

    Meanwhile, China is pushing the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization (WAICO), which, in the face of internal divisions and impotent leadership among Western nations, could prove to be the first global regime that China gets to build and lead.

  • undefined 3 days ago ago
    [deleted]
  • aryonoco 3 days ago ago

    Land of the free, land of the brave. Free market. Freedom of speech. Market economy.

    These words don’t mean what they use to anymore. Newspeak is in full swing. Words still sound the same and are written in the same way but now mean something completely different. If Mao and Stalin were alive, they would be nodding approvingly.

  • zacksiri 3 days ago ago

    This reminds me of the following quote

    "When you see that in order to produce, you need to obtain permission from men who produce nothing - When you see that money is flowing to those who deal, not in goods, but in favors - When you see that men get richer by graft and by pull than by work, and your laws don’t protect you against them, but protect them against you - When you see corruption being rewarded and honesty becoming a self-sacrifice - You may know that your society is doomed." ― Ayn Rand, Atlas Shrugged

  • kdawag 3 days ago ago

    To the surprise of absolutely nobody following the news

  • Havoc 3 days ago ago

    Dario really fucked us all with his fear mongering regulatory capture approach cause there is zero chance this reverts back to government deciding it doesn't want the power.

  • zrn900 2 days ago ago

    God... Nobody else would be able to destroy the US dominance harder and faster than Trump... Though the other party was going to do the same - albeit slowly and more civilly. (Obama admn. started the trade war way back).

  • Havoc 3 days ago ago

    One more aspect where the US can no longer be counted on.

    Let's hope this creates a bit more fire under the asses of other countries

  • wewewedxfgdf 3 days ago ago

    I wonder if Anthropic and ChatGPT will continue to scream at the top of their lungs how dangerous their services are and how they will break the security of everything everywhere?

    Or may they'll decide to be a little more quiet and less end-of-the-world-is-nigh-if-you-use-our-services?

  • Cryptosale75 3 days ago ago

    I personally believe that Dario Amodei is probably one of the 'less shitty' AI leaders. But literally no one is going to convince me that either 1. He overplayed his hand and fucked up 2. This is at least 'majority' PR.

  • zsoltkacsandi 3 days ago ago

    And this is how Chinese AI companies will win over the U.S.

    Play stupid games win stupid prizes.

  • jimmydoe 3 days ago ago

    Congrats sama. Such a great sophisticated 5d chess move.

  • VortexLain 3 days ago ago

    Welcome to the permanent underclass everyone.

  • zuzululu 3 days ago ago

    should see 5.6 any day now

  • xyst 3 days ago ago

    "trusted" meaning "paid millions to trump admin slush fund account"

  • acallaghan 3 days ago ago

    When AI bubble pops, no bailouts. I'm not paying for this BS

  • metaworkers11 3 days ago ago

    presumably those targeting Gaza, Lebanon and Iran? more effective genocide. A wonderful two party system we have here.

  • hmokiguess 3 days ago ago

    I identify as a trusted partner, can I have one Mythos please.

  • chungus_amongus 3 days ago ago

    despicable

  • tristanj 3 days ago ago
  • kevinten10 3 days ago ago

    [dead]

  • paxys 3 days ago ago

    TL;DR - OpenAI and Anthropic are both allowed to ship their most powerful models to a small number of companies pre-approved by Trump.

  • sehw 3 days ago ago

    [dead]

  • frogperson 3 days ago ago

    Who needs freedom of speech anyway? I'm just glad the trump admin is looking out for by best interests. /s

  • _pdp_ 2 days ago ago

    Nooice /s

  • naturalmovement 3 days ago ago

    [flagged]

  • skywhopper 3 days ago ago

    Why post a content free link to Twitter for this?