How to hide from killer drones

(economist.com)

69 points | by pseudolus 3 hours ago ago

77 comments

  • dkresge 4 minutes ago ago

    If only it was simple rage bait. As a member of this thing we call "civilization" I can't help but wonder how the hell we got to this point. #rhetorical

  • orthoxerox 2 hours ago ago

    Dazzle camouflage doesn't work on killer drones. Even civilian LLMs recognize that the object on the photograph is a military truck, except they can't explain why it's been painted to resemble a zebra. Most dedicated machine vision models easily lock in on a boxy shape moving along a road. If anything, the stripes make the trucks easier to see.

    The real answer to killer drones is a CIWS that can cover 2pi steradians and attack multiple drones at the same time, because otherwise it will be just swarmed by drones that quietly glide towards it, engines off, from several directions before entering the final dive.

    • zh3 an hour ago ago

      Absolutely this will work, it's all over social media.

      Remember, in WWII Carrots were the secret weapon used to defeat the night fighters.

      [Todo: Add link to Poe's Law]

    • ukd1 2 hours ago ago
      • atoav 2 hours ago ago

        Until drones deploy counter-blinkenlights. As someone who has built a realtime people tracker art installation in a disco: Stroboscopes are highly effective at confusing these models.

        • delichon an hour ago ago

          Disco or death? It's not an easy choice.

        • ukd1 2 hours ago ago

          Ya, things always evolve, and can't always be perfect, especially against adapting enemies. Strobes; ya - would be interesting to see what these do vs us, not tried.

    • warumdarum an hour ago ago

      LED display tiles showing the map driven over?

    • esseph an hour ago ago

      A CIWS can only fire at one direction at a time, so 2+1 drones has an extremely high chance of taking it out for around $2500 or less. CIWS is multiple magnitudes more expensive.

      Also can't use CIWS near troops and fpvs.

      P1-SUN and equivalent are the answer there.

      • baxtr 30 minutes ago ago

        You mean P1-SUN interceptor drones?

        • esseph 19 minutes ago ago

          Yes sorry

    • tamimio 32 minutes ago ago

      CIWS might be effective against fixed wing since they fly mostly in straight lines, it won’t work effectively against multirotors that can quickly change direction and maneuver around, now add swarm of them, and it will overwhelm CIWS. That of course, assuming it was detected which is a whole process by itself.

    • yogthos 2 hours ago ago

      The difference is that a neural network you can fit on a drone is going to be a lot less capable than an LLM you can run on a desktop.

      • orthoxerox an hour ago ago

        You can fit a Jetson Orin Nano on a winged drone. It has plenty enough power to run a vision model.

        • tamimio 30 minutes ago ago

          Not just winged drone, we have had jetson on far more smaller 7in multirotors, plus other boards for network etc.

        • yogthos an hour ago ago

          Given that the drone is going on a one way trip, I imagine you'd want to use the cheapest hardware possible which would mean using the dumbest model you can get away with.

          • wcfields 36 minutes ago ago

            Depends on the value of the target. Costs Ukraine $918 to kill a Russian soldier[1] but if you’re using a fully offline automated swarm to destroy a petro system worth billions then what’s a few GPUs strapped to each one to run local models.

            [1] https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/ukraine-s-drone-chief-reveal...

          • esseph an hour ago ago

            Your drone needs to be cheaper than what you're killing, so if your target profile is 50k+ USD and up, a $10000 even is fine (not that it would need to be even 10k).

      • MengerSponge 2 hours ago ago

        Doesn't a fiber tether give its drone desktop-class computing?

        • vanviegen 2 hours ago ago

          Fiber tethered drones don't need to be AI controlled.

          • rjsw 2 hours ago ago

            They can have AI enabled graphics in the goggles of the operator.

          • trhway 2 hours ago ago

            how else would you control 2M drones at the same time? Mechanical Turk? Or aerial fight with an enemy AI, thus much quicker reacting, drone.

        • le-mark an hour ago ago

          A starlink tethered drone can have a (orbital) datacenter guiding it.

    • 1over137 2 hours ago ago

      CIWS?

      • rdist 2 hours ago ago

        Close-In Weapon System

        The Phalanx defense systems you see on naval vessels.

        • orthoxerox 2 hours ago ago

          Yeah, just a smaller version, naval CIWS are designed to shoot down missiles.

  • davidwritesbugs 2 hours ago ago

    As a bonus it will also repel horse flies.

    https://www.science.org/content/article/zebra-stripes-confus...

  • laughing_man an hour ago ago

    After WW II German u-boat captains said they were never particularly bothered by dazzle camouflage. Ten years from now I have a feeling we'll get the same information from drone operators.

    • iLoveOncall 16 minutes ago ago

      It's not camouflage for ships, it's so it's harder to estimate the distance.

  • Jazgot 8 minutes ago ago

    Most drones use thermal cameras, this camouflage rather does not help.

  • delichon 3 hours ago ago

    Twenty four years later I'm still looking for ways to evade the spider drones deployed by PreCrime in Minority Report.

  • ahartmetz 3 hours ago ago

    Oh, so dazzle camouflage is back. I wonder if the more sophisticated "classic" patterns would work better. They certainly do for human observers.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dazzle_camouflage

  • srameshc 2 hours ago ago

    This title scared me, not for myself but more thinking about how kids will probably need to learn these things next. We are such strange 'intelligent' creatures who have figured out everything but not to be at peace with each other.

  • lelandfe 2 hours ago ago

    A tip from a 2024 Google paper[0]:

    > It's important to note that the risk of misuse is significantly lower for individuals who have never had typical speech patterns

    How to Hide from Killer Drones:

    It's important to note that that the risk of being riddled with drone bullets is significantly lower for individuals who have never had human physical characteristics.

    [0] https://research.google/blog/restoring-speaker-voices-with-z...

  • haunter 2 hours ago ago

    You don't

    /r/CombatFootage (NSFL)

  • einpoklum 8 minutes ago ago

    > The probable result will be an arms race pitting increasingly sophisticated machine vision systems against cleverer and cleverer methods for fooling them.

    FPV drones are a thing. In, fact, I suspect most drones in the NATO-Russia war are FPV rather than fully autonomous.

  • wa2flq an hour ago ago

    How about lots of similarly painted cheap decoys!?

  • tcp_handshaker 2 hours ago ago
    • lifestyleguru 2 hours ago ago

      "stay inside" scare... from late 2019...

    • echelon 2 hours ago ago

      Prescient.

      This film predated the Ukraine war, and it felt like fiction six years ago.

      This is absolutely coming.

      The government is concerned about who might print a 3D gun, but this is the real danger.

      • corky_buchek 2 hours ago ago

        The Ukraine war started in 2014.

        • NDlurker 2 hours ago ago

          Predated the widespread use of small drones in Ukraine

        • Terr_ 2 hours ago ago

          True, but I think OP's core message is that the movie pre-dated the broader invasion and subsequent drone-heavy combat.

  • trhway 3 hours ago ago

    Half the time it is the nighttime and the things are in IR https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47000051 . You may still try to camouflage and decrease your IR visibility - stealth planes try to do it, and there are some IR-decreasing covers for tanks and people.

    The night time hunt using IR is widely practiced today in Ukraine and even was widely practiced by US and USSR in Afghanistan and Iraq as surroundings gets cooled down and cars, people and say donkeys used to transport weapons in mountains become highly contrast against the surroundings and thus easy to spot visually and to lock IR seeker of a weapon. Saddam used USSR anti-ship missiles, old even then, to attack Iran oil storage tanks at night as the missiles were easily able to lock on that large bright IR emission of the tanks still hot from the day against the cold night desert.

  • esseph 3 hours ago ago

    If you're really interested in this kind of thing, Grand Thumb on YouTube has a couple of videos about it. I think it was Dirty Civilian on YouTube that had a good video on how to prepare hide sites and the impact of using the right laundry detergent as to reduce or eliminate IR brightener chemicals, etc.

  • stefan_ 2 hours ago ago

    This is an odd article that tries to elevate some random grunt in the field painting their truck white stripes to grand battlefield strategy in the face of autonomous AI killer drones. Neither are the latter real nor is the former actually in widespread use, and it obviously is not effective, not least because the drones it's talking about barely have the resolution at altitude to resolve that detail.

    • joezydeco 2 hours ago ago
      • stefan_ 2 hours ago ago

        Yes, media see a snapdragon running a YOLO and go off writing "AI apocalypse autonomous killer drones" articles.

        See it for yourselves: https://x.com/RALee85/status/2071537561059692956

        Some object detection and (human triggered) terminal guidance. It's essentially there to solve latency and control issues for a fixed wing platform with a spotty data link.

        • joezydeco 2 hours ago ago

          If it works, who cares how it's made?

    • trhway 2 hours ago ago

      >not least because the drones it's talking about barely have the resolution at altitude to resolve that detail.

      the drones are used in groups. That is for example how we have a lot of footage of the drones hitting targets. The drone observers or especially the intelligence drone guiding the group would frequently carry much better camera than the actual kamikaze drones (especially when it comes to high-resolution IR cameras which are expensive). In the fully autonomous AI mode the drone is usually given small target area where to operate (in particular because they aren't yet smart enough to differentiate Ukranians from Russians, so you'd like to confine their operations to a limited area and not letting it into the totally free hunt) and regular 4K camera is sufficient there. Again, there is a lot of footage on YT an TG.

      • stefan_ 2 hours ago ago

        You are mixing more things. There's lots of ISR drones flying around, from DJIs at 50-150m altitude to bigger fixed wing platforms at 1000-1500m. Their point is to find targets, do BDA and monitor, but not autonomously; it's guys sitting in Discord calls and entering data into BMS.

        Most kamikaze drones are FPVs. They can not do anything autonomously because at $300 a pop in a totally GNSS denied environment, after 10 seconds past takeoff none of them have the faintest clue where they are. That's why you see all that footage, they just skip the part where for the first 20 minutes some guy with goggles is navigating them. The bigger fixed wing kamikaze drones like the Hornet above might have better onboard options like VO or triangulating radio beacons, but by all the evidence they are still guided by operators and triggered to dive manually. The biggest issue for all these systems is maintaining their video data link; if they were truly totally autonomous, nobody would bother.

  • ButlerianJihad 3 hours ago ago

    Machine Learning CAPTCHA https://m.xkcd.com/2228/

  • sleepyguy 2 hours ago ago

    If anyone here is into drones, manufactures, ideas, or wants to either use their drone piloting skills or learn how to pilot drones. Ukraine is recruiting for positions.

    https://usforces.army/en

    • Bender 20 minutes ago ago

      Who owns and operates this site? It is not a military or government website of the United States of America.

      These [1][2] are the websites for Ukraine's military.

      [1] - https://mod.gov.ua/en

      [2] - https://www.zsu.gov.ua/en

      • sleepyguy 7 minutes ago ago

        Unmanned system forces, can't you read?

        It's a Ukrainian site with English selected. You couldn't figure that out?

        • Bender 4 minutes ago ago

          Unmanned system forces

          Who is that?

    • barrenko 42 minutes ago ago

      This seems like it caters mostly to Ukrainians no?

    • kakacik 2 hours ago ago

      Just beware that being part of the drone team isnt some comfy safe job far from danger, they are the most hated type of unit currently since they are deciding large part of this war (and any future war it seems). I see videos of ie glide bombs used by both sides targetting specifically positions of drone teams.

      If all this is clear and you go ahead, all the power to ya, fighting evil in this world is highly commendable.

      • trhway 2 hours ago ago

        Like sharpshooters, the drone operators are usually executed instead of being taken POW.

      • yogthos 2 hours ago ago

        And drone operators aren't taken prisoner either as a rule.

      • wartywhoa23 2 hours ago ago

        > fighting evil in this world is highly commendable

        Except more often than not it is fighting not evil but sleeping civilians who don't support this war, which is not even war in the strict sense of the word, but a deliberate meatgrinder set up to devour as much human beings on both sides as its orchestrators can get away with, for as long as possible.

        • vanviegen 2 hours ago ago

          Is there any evidence suggesting that Ukraine is targeting civilians?

          And what 'orchestrators' exactly do you think benefit from sending their soldiers through a meat grinder? Yes, Russia (not Ukraine) has done a lot of that, but you seem to think that getting their own soldiers killed was their goal..?

          • wartywhoa23 11 minutes ago ago

            My evidence is waking up in the night from the sound of explosions in a city 150 km from the active front line, and then reading about a civilian building, or multiple buildings, hit in the morning. Sometimes even walking in person to see the aftermath.

            I don't have any hard evidence that drones that hit Russian civilian buildings are even launched from Ukraine. What is known for a fact, is that they often belong to the same waves of attacks that hit industrial and military facilities. And for a fact, certain remote operators are responsible for that.

            See, most will find my POV heavily tinfoil-headed, but try to understand it: I don't consider Russians and Ukrainians as two sides of the conflict. The real sides are some third party in control of military forces and narratives of both sides vs the populace of both countries. This is a war of false flag operations that are always blamed by that 3rd party on either Russian or Ukrainian side. A war of psychological terror, resource and manpower exhaustion.

            For example, I don't see any plausible explanation how drones with a radar cross-section of a Cessna are able to fly from Ukraine 1500-2000 km deep into Russia, other than either being turned the blind eye to by the Russian air defense, or straight up launched and controlled by entities within the country.

            That it is pretty possible, can be understood by in depth reading on 1999 explosions in Moscow and Volgodonsk which inaugurated Putin's rule, and peculiar details like that slip when Zhirinovsky spoke about the Volgodonsk explosion before the event proper. Also, the prevented explosion in Ryazan (look up "Ryazan sugar"). And by mere living in Russia and noticing things around.

            There is always an SMS warning in advance of every wave of attacks, but drones fly unimpeded and it is only in the vicinity of towns and cities that the air defense kicks in, often sending "the debris" neatly into residential buildings.

            No attacks on key infrastructure were ever made that would cut war logistics on both sides, both sides never attempted to attack any key (like, really key, not some sacrifice rooks or bishops) figure of its "enemy" Khomeini or Maduro style, in fact, nothing is ever made that should have been made in a real war. Only slow, deliberate, controlled smoldering. Fighting over strategically meaningless villages and towns with losses in many tens of thousands, only to back down and then try to recapture with same losses multiple times.

            All in all it takes living here and boiling in it, nothing I wrote could be obvious or even entertained as possible to a foreigner who doesn't follow the news daily and only sees the broadest strokes presented by foreign mass media.

            As to what the orchestrators benefit - it's multifaceted, but goes along the lines of slaughtering the battle-worthy passionaries who would otherwise prove dangerous to the globalist plans for CBDC, total digital control and surveillance in slavic countries, displacing them with meek migrant workers, terrorizing the remaining populace into complete apathy and acceptance of whatever new normals those plans set, training military AI on real-world bloody datasets, limiting the freedom of movement by deliberately created fuel shortages, which makes well for 15-minute cities, etc, etc per WEF, IMF, World Bank, Blackrock and whatever scum there is still in the shadow.

          • Pay08 2 hours ago ago

            > Is there any evidence suggesting that Ukraine is targeting civilians?

            Don't you know that big bad Ukraine forced innocent little Russia into this war?! (Do I need to add the sarcasm mark?)

            > but you seem to think that getting their own soldiers killed was their goal..?

            Actually, to some extent, that is the case. Russia has been conscripting violent criminals (generally murderers and rapists), who, unlike normal prisoners getting conscripted, don't have a way to "earn" their freedom and are instead sent into the proverbial meat grinder.

            • le-mark an hour ago ago

              Russia emptied the prisons years ago. The able bodied men of Donetsk and Luhansk were rounded up and fed to grinder years ago as well. The wanton slaughter of their own people has been startling and depraved for their unending exuberance.

              • warumdarum 42 minutes ago ago

                The minorities from the regions came next. Then came the allies from the antiimperialist block days. Now they reach for the gullible of the world.

        • yakshaving_jgt an hour ago ago

          Only the russians are targeting civilians.

        • rwyinuse 26 minutes ago ago

          If Russian civilians stopped sleeping and took up arms against their government, then maybe this war could end. The people responsible are all members of the Russian government, and Russian people's apathy (or in many cases support for the war) enables them.

  • therobots927 2 hours ago ago

    Censorship is alive and well on this cursed site

    • Pay08 2 hours ago ago

      How so?

      • therobots927 2 hours ago ago

        Any comment about Gaza getting flagged in under a minute

        • Pay08 2 hours ago ago

          Flagging irrelevant comments isn't censorship...

          • megous an hour ago ago

            Yeah, sure. Gaza is a place of first massive AI and semi-autonomous drone deployment during a conflict, and so we already know how it looks due to that.

            AI army leadership will set a target of 5% of victims being combatants, and press go, and the result will be as expected from that.

            • Pay08 19 minutes ago ago

              This is just complete fantasy.

          • xurxyrxyrxe an hour ago ago

            Shalom!