What is the size of Yemen? (2024)

(theborys.substack.com)

221 points | by kspacewalk2 13 hours ago ago

35 comments

  • walrus01 9 hours ago ago

    I think a more important question is whether Yemen still exists as as single coherent political entity with the same borders as seen on ANY of those maps, which given the present situation, it clearly does not.

    edit: map here https://understandingwar.org/research/middle-east/iran-updat...

    and here: https://yemen.liveuamap.com/

  • em-bee 11 hours ago ago

    this was posted on 27. of november 2024. on the 3rd of december someone found a correct looking number in a yemen government document which was published in 2005 and updated wikipedia. so at least the country itself was not under any illusion of being bigger than they actually are.

    • lopis 10 hours ago ago

      Ah I'm glad. That's much better than the solution I had in mind of using the sand from the desert to expand the land into the sea to add extra 100k km of land area, to hide all this embarrassment under the rug.

  • kqr 7 hours ago ago

    This reminds me of what Deming used to say: there is no correct value for any measurement, there are only the outcomes of methods chosen to measure something.

  • burlesona 11 hours ago ago

    What I wonder is why anyone noticed this in the first place. Who saw the size of the country in Wikipedia and thought, “really? Let me trace that in Google maps, just to be sure…”

    • t-3 10 hours ago ago

      I actually measured the size of (parts of) Yemen on maps a week or two ago, trying to figure out the population density of the Houthi-controlled areas, which contain the majority (~70-80%, hard to say exactly as the population distribution has been changing rapidly in the past decade) of Yemen's population in about 1/3 of it's land.

    • edoceo 10 hours ago ago

      Something about eyeballs and all bugs being shallow...

  • asveikau 8 hours ago ago

    I remember hearing from a Yemeni American in the late 90s that the border with Saudi was not defined (mentioned in the article). I wonder if this could be explained more simply that a few sources didn't bother to update this over time due to the ambiguity, they just carried over what had been published before.

    • walrus01 7 hours ago ago

      A casual review of the satellite view of the border with Saudi Arabia shows that much of it is desolate uninhabited sand dunes, so it's not like there's border markers such as the US/Canada have. Or likely an accurate survey (you'd need high precision GNSS equipment and something that can traverse serious sand dunes as a vehicle, because no fixed markers and traditional surveying methods have any chance of success there).

      • inglor_cz 6 hours ago ago

        Historically, borders in inhospitable regions where the government cannot project power used to be vague.

        Early Medieval European kingdoms usually had border forests, sometimes quite deep (50-100 km), where one end of the forest was definitely Bohemian and the other end definitely Saxon or Austrian, but the exact demarcation within it bothered no one.

        There were only two kinds of people crossing them: invading armies and long-distance traders on very few walkable paths. The latter would be taxed prior to entering the city markets, not on the border. The former would be interested in sieging strongholds deeper in the enemy territory, not in taking a slice of wooded territory on the border.

  • bambax 7 hours ago ago

    Great article. I wonder if the sum of the land areas of all countries on earth matches the global size of emerged land? Or are there other similar errors?

  • arthur18097612 9 minutes ago ago

    a nice article!

  • lappet 11 hours ago ago

    Great article. Somehow, this gives me hope that curiosity can still be rewarded in this age of information at our fingertips.

    • rpozarickij 10 hours ago ago

      Although I do hope too that people don't lose their sense of meaning and curiosity too much, it's worth keeping in mind that this article was published in 2024 which was a very different world from now. Curiosity requires energy, and it'll be hard for a creature relying on energy for survival to justify using their own energy for some activity when there's a more energy-efficient way to reach a specific goal. But just like going to the gym makes your body healthier despite the fact that this requires energy, thinking on your own will be increasingly important for maintaining a healthy mind and the sense of self.

  • Aerroon 11 hours ago ago

    I did not expect this to just be a simple mistake, especially one that's been around for decades. Makes you wonder what other kind of basic facts are wrong.

    In the age of satellites, computers, Google maps and the like you would think a mistake like this would be impossible to persist for so long.

    • kqr 7 hours ago ago

      Imagine how much of published science is statistically significant only due to clerical errors and mistakes in calculation...

      (See e.g. The misreporting of statistical results in psychology journals; Bakker, Wicherts; Behaviour Research Methods; 2011.)

    • wmf 10 hours ago ago

      A bunch of countries are suspected of undercounting their population because so many people are living "off the grid" or deliberately overcounting to get more funding. Probably some of the cases are real and some are just conspiracy theories.

    • AlotOfReading 11 hours ago ago

      These kinds of issues have existed since the first human started recording what they owned, and will probably continue plaguing us until the last one dies.

      • vijayr02 6 hours ago ago

        No - only till the second last one dies.

  • theteapot 6 hours ago ago

    I suppose it's not worth checking whether Google maps areas are measured using spherical geometry?

    • titanomachy 23 minutes ago ago

      You could check, but it would be quite shocking if they weren’t.

  • dehrmann 10 hours ago ago

    This is why you read the code, not the documentation.

  • hbroom 11 hours ago ago

    Always picture it larger, but it's roughly the size of France. Makes you wonder about logistical challenges there.

  • f055 6 hours ago ago

    Human civilisation is built on such lies ;)

  • jdhzzz 4 hours ago ago

    It's an AI hallucination in slow motion.

  • reassess_blind 9 hours ago ago

    I wonder if you sum every countries claimed size, how far off it is from the actual total land on Earth.

    • cozzyd 9 hours ago ago

      Well, this is a pretty perfect usecase for AI (although it's also easy to just get shapefiles from NE and do it yourself, obviously).

      Interestingly all of UAE, Yemen and Saudi Arabia have significant discrepancies between the World Factbook and their shapefiles (in every case overestimating), probably all related to not having had a demarcated border in the Rub Al Khali.

      • reassess_blind 8 hours ago ago

        A quick lazy calculation (including adding in Antartica) the countries totals came up ~2,000,000km2 short. I don't care enough to dive deeper, but if no one is claiming that land I'll happily take it.

  • yreg 4 hours ago ago

    This is such a nice article!

  • postsantum 5 hours ago ago

    > I delved into

    delved

  • mc32 12 hours ago ago

    This happens more frequently then one imagines. Quite a few things fail to start from scratch and instead rely on compounded errors over time. Projections, budgets, etc., are sometimes based on stale information.

  • thr0waway001 12 hours ago ago

    15 Yemen Road, Yemen

    • alentred 8 hours ago ago

      I will write you every day.

      (I suppose people downvoting this don’t know the reference. Way to make us feel old :) )

      • defrost 8 hours ago ago

        HN eschews pop culture references, the down voters are almost certain to include those that are aware of US sitcoms.

  • mikelitoris 9 hours ago ago

    Ye man, this is crazy